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2024-12-14 06:29:50

Statement of the work: Personal opinion, for reference only.First of all, I have to say that the market has really taught me a lot these two days. News comes one after another, and good news keeps appearing. I once lost confidence in technology today. And as we all know, these two days are the time for heavy meetings, and the frequent news makes the short-term technical analysis almost ineffective.Therefore, based on the above analysis, I personally think that it is more likely that the Shanghai Composite Index will rise and fall tomorrow. So how will A shares go tomorrow? Please have a look at the hand-drawn forecast chart about tomorrow's trend.


Third, I have been worried that the CSI 2000 index and the micro-cap stock index, which have been rising continuously, are at risk of a pullback. In fact, this morning, we saw signs of weakness in the trend of small-cap stocks, but they were finally pulled up by the main force to turn the tide. Although turning the corner, it can't hide the fact that small and micro-cap stocks have risen too high. I have repeatedly said that these small-cap stocks need to be adjusted! Just like the story of the wolf coming, everyone may think that it is not, because everyone has not seen the adjustment of small and micro-stocks. But the story of the wolf coming, the final result is "the wolf really came." We still need to clearly understand that the CSI 2000 Index, the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the daily index, the breakdown of the upper rail of the daily bollinger Band index, etc., are some signals that indicate serious overbought in the short term.Third, I have been worried that the CSI 2000 index and the micro-cap stock index, which have been rising continuously, are at risk of a pullback. In fact, this morning, we saw signs of weakness in the trend of small-cap stocks, but they were finally pulled up by the main force to turn the tide. Although turning the corner, it can't hide the fact that small and micro-cap stocks have risen too high. I have repeatedly said that these small-cap stocks need to be adjusted! Just like the story of the wolf coming, everyone may think that it is not, because everyone has not seen the adjustment of small and micro-stocks. But the story of the wolf coming, the final result is "the wolf really came." We still need to clearly understand that the CSI 2000 Index, the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the daily index, the breakdown of the upper rail of the daily bollinger Band index, etc., are some signals that indicate serious overbought in the short term.But as a veteran of the technical school, I have to go back to the technical side to solve the problem. News will have an impact, but in the trading hours of a year, the time period with frequent news should be considered as a small part of the whole. Therefore, we must not give up eating because of choking, and technology is still the most important means of market analysis.


Praise is the greatest support for my pure technical school.First, in terms of time relationship, tomorrow will be the 13th trading day from the low point to the high point (assuming the high point occurs in the intraday trading tomorrow). 13 is a typical Fibonacci dial number. On the 13th day, it is easy to produce the inflection point. Moreover, we can find that the last downtrend band took 14 trading days to reach the low point. According to the symmetry theory, the current uptrend band will probably take 13~14 trading days to reach the top of the stage.Therefore, based on the above analysis, I personally think that it is more likely that the Shanghai Composite Index will rise and fall tomorrow. So how will A shares go tomorrow? Please have a look at the hand-drawn forecast chart about tomorrow's trend.

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